Oh _______1_______. Or so it may seem. Because many social networks eventually evolve into one of just two states. We either all get along. Or an unbridgeable divide develops. And a new mathematical model can predict which it will be,findings ______2______ in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
Consider a relationship triangle. Arthur and Carl don’t like each other. But Bill is friendly with them both. Bill will probably try to convince Arthur and Carl to get along. But Arthur and Carl are telling Bill that the other guy’s no good. You don’t need to be a math ______3______ to see that, as time goes on, either everyone will be friends or Bill is going to have to pick a side.
Now picture a big network made of these triangles. Which is what scientists did in their computer model. And they found that this theoretical social network produced either global harmony or ______4_____, depending on the initial triangles. The model even predicted almost exactly the identities of all the Allied and Axis forces during World War II. So one way to prevent global war may be to ______5_____ enough Arthurs and Carls.
【視聽(tīng)版科學(xué)小組榮譽(yù)出品】
what a tangled web we weave laid out whiz all-out war forge friendships between
模型預(yù)測(cè)之下的戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)與和平 噢,我們織就出了一個(gè)多么雜亂無(wú)章的社交關(guān)系網(wǎng)。?。∫只蛩旧砭秃軓?fù)雜?因?yàn)楹芏嗌缃痪W(wǎng)絡(luò)最終都會(huì)演變成兩種狀態(tài)的其中一種-我們要么和諧相處,要么彼此之間產(chǎn)生一道不可逾越的鴻溝。一個(gè)新的數(shù)學(xué)模型可以預(yù)測(cè)出最終狀態(tài),此項(xiàng)發(fā)現(xiàn)刊登在《美國(guó)國(guó)家科學(xué)院院刊》上。 思索一個(gè)三角關(guān)系。亞瑟和卡爾彼此不喜歡對(duì)方。但比爾跟兩人都挺要好。比爾可能會(huì)勸說(shuō)亞瑟和卡爾,讓他們好好相處。而亞瑟和卡爾都跟比爾說(shuō)對(duì)方的壞話(huà)。你不必是個(gè)數(shù)學(xué)高手,就可以很容易得出結(jié)論,隨著時(shí)間的推移,要么三個(gè)人都不要成為朋友,要么比爾就不得不選擇其中一方作為朋友。 現(xiàn)在構(gòu)想出一個(gè)由這些三角關(guān)系組成的大網(wǎng)絡(luò),這就是科學(xué)家們?cè)陔娔X模型中建立的網(wǎng)絡(luò)關(guān)系。他們發(fā)現(xiàn)這個(gè)假想的社交網(wǎng)不是使全球和平穩(wěn)定,就是會(huì)帶來(lái)全面戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)的爆發(fā),結(jié)果取決于初始的三角關(guān)系。此模型甚至準(zhǔn)確地預(yù)測(cè)出第二次世界大戰(zhàn)中同盟國(guó)和軸心國(guó)的特性。所以一個(gè)防止全球戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)的方法也許是加深“亞瑟”們和“卡爾”們之間的友誼吧。